Precious Metals Outlook Increasingly Strong

The price outlook for gold and silver bullion has again turned to strong. There are several factors that have resumed working strongly in favor of precious metals investment.

After its peak in late-summer 2011, the gold and silver market has seemed to be on the retreat to most investors. The great selloff triggered by ETFs pulling back from the gold and silver market segment over-exaggerated the perceived decline in precious metals prices. On second thoughts though, both precious metals kept much of their value, with gold performing not too bad in particular.

In the intermediate term, and with the advent of Crypto currencies, some investment money looking for alternatives had gone into Bitcoin, Litecoin, and other of the so-called virtual currencies or, rather, Crypto coins or tokens.

With a number of both fundamental and technical events, this trend in favor of Crypto seems to be reversing right now. The most prominent of these is the move of Gold Bullion in the Basel III regulation from a tier-2 to a tier-1 asset. This means that capital reserves in gold held by commercial banks are now marked to market with a 100% instead of 50% ratio (as previously, when gold was classed ‘tier-2’). The other factor is technical hurdles in Crypto prices, now forming something of a plateau or NSW (narrow sideways-channel) from a technical point of view that it’s increasingly hard for Crypto prices to break out of.

The result, so far, has been a bottoming-out and significant turnaround in precious metals prices in the wake of this summer’s Basel III gold holdings re-classification. Gold prices have broken out of their own narrow-sideways-channel between $1300 and $1450 and have started testing the $1500 barrier in September. While it may take some time for this price level to clear, once it does the upward move in gold as well as silver bullion prices is likely to accelerate.

It remains to be seen whether or not this will drain more capital from the Crypto markets of if Crypto coins will be able to shrug this fact off.

 

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